Jan 26: The Day Elon Changes Everything

Mark your calendar: January 26, 2025. That's the date I believe Elon Musk could finally unveil his Optimus robot - the same project he says will be "the biggest product ever of any kind." If Elon is right, this could be a $30 trillion tipping point...And regular investors have a rare window to move before the switch flips.

Kentucky bourbon makers fear becoming 'collateral damage' in Trump's trade war

BRUCE SCHREINER and DYLAN LOVAN
March 11, 2025

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (AP) -- With a new distillery set to open soon, the makers of Brough Brothers bourbon in Kentucky were ready to put their business plan into action. They were looking to ramp up whiskey production to break into lucrative new markets in Canada and Europe.

Now the on-again, off-again threat of tariffs has disrupted those plans.

Efforts by the Black-owned distiller to gain a foothold in Canada are on hold, as are plans to break into Germany and France, said Brough Brothers Distillery CEO Victor Yarbrough. That's because the iconic American spirit's widening global appeal is caught in the crossfire of trade conflicts instigated by President Donald Trump.

"It's extremely frustrating," said Yarbrough, who started the Louisville distilling company with his brothers, Bryson and Chris. "We are collateral damage."

For distillers looking to sell to consumers of all political stripes, talking politics can be as distasteful as discussing Prohibition. But along with the turmoil and uncertainty over tariffs, bourbon makers and other U.S. firms trying to do business in Canada are confronting public relations challenges still reverberating from the president's blunt-force "America First" approach to international relations.

With Canadian hockey fans booing the U.S. national anthem and some liquor stores north of the border clearing American spirits from their shelves even before there's clarity over tariffs, businesses like Brough Brothers are watching to see how the trade conflict plays out.

In the building being converted into the new distillery near the Ohio River, drywall dust covers the floor of the project that the brothers hope will raise the company's profile in the ultra-competitive bourbon world.

"I believe there's going to be some type of repair of the relationships that needs to happen," said Yarbrough, who was hoping, before the trade war erupted, to introduce his bourbon in New Brunswick and later expand to Ontario and other parts of Canada. "So I think some type of media blitz, PR blitz is definitely going to have to take place."

An expanding market hampered by uncertainty

The trade wars pose an immediate threat to an American-made success story, built on the growing worldwide taste for bourbon, Tennessee whiskey and other products.

Kentucky Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear said the president's zig-zagging tariff policy is hurting the American economy and will lead to higher consumer prices while disrupting business.

"It's not just the imposition of tariffs, it's this month-to-month, 'I may do it to you at any moment' policy," said Beshear, a potential presidential candidate in 2028. "You can't create stability."

Trump on Thursday postponed 25% tariffs on some imports from Canada for a month amid fears of the economic fallout from a broader trade war. Yarbrough said his company's expansion plans are still in limbo.

"It doesn't change our situation," he said. "Just as quickly as it changed to a reprieve, it could just as quickly turn into next month that we're back on."

For an industry that has to plan well into the future, based on aging its whiskey products, such angst is widespread in Kentucky, which produces 95% of the world's bourbon supply. At this point even a delay in tariffs wouldn't alleviate the practical problems confronting U.S. whiskey makers.

"The issue for us is long-term planning, and a postponement does nothing for us in long-term planning except leaves it still up in the air," said Judy Hollis Jones, president and CEO of Buzzard's Roost in Louisville, which sells to two provinces in Canada and has been looking to expand.

"Maybe other people adapt to it easier than I do, but I tend to like some certainty," Jones said.

The Kentucky Distillers' Association says the newest trade conflicts feel like deja vu. The industry group has long sounded the alarm that tariffs and retaliatory levies would wreak havoc on the spirits industry. Along with the North American trade dispute, the European Union is set to reinstate a tariff by April 1 on American whiskey if nothing is done to head it off.

That trans-Atlantic dispute is a reprise of Trump's first-term tariffs on European steel and aluminum. The EU's retaliatory tariff caused American whiskey exports to the EU to plunge 20%, costing distillers more than $100 million in revenue from 2018 to 2021, the Distilled Spirits Council says. Once the tariff was suspended, EU sales rebounded for American distillers.

Threat of 'irreparable harm' to distillers

Now, Europe's infatuation with Kentucky bourbon and other U.S. spirits is threatened by the potential 50% tariff -- double the previous levy -- that would inflict "irreparable harm to distillers large and small," said Chris Swonger, the council's CEO.

Tariffs amount to a tax, which whiskey producers can either absorb in reduced profits or pass along to customers through higher prices -- and risk losing market share in highly competitive markets. In 2024, the EU was by far the largest export market for U.S. distilled spirits, followed by Canada, the council said.

Trump maintains that open trade has cost the U.S. millions of factory jobs and that tariffs are the path to American-made prosperity.

Large distillers possess the capital and market reach to ride out disruptions caused by tariffs -- built-in luxuries that most small producers don't have.

Canada accounts for just 1% of total sales for Brown-Forman Corp., the maker of Jack Daniel's Tennessee Whiskey, and the Louisville-based company could withstand disruptions there, said its CEO, Lawson Whiting.

But Whiting said the decision by Canadian provinces to take American products off store shelves is "worse than a tariff because it's literally taking your sales away." He called it "a very disproportionate response to a 25% tariff."

The threat of a prolonged trade war has Brough Brothers exploring other options. They could lean harder into domestic sales or look for other markets overseas -- but again, it's hard to plan.

"Talking about this is starting to make my head hurt," Yarbrough said.

For Tom Bard, another Kentucky craft distiller, the risk is that all his hard work to gain a foothold in Canada could evaporate due to the cross-border trade conflict.

Bard and his wife, Kim, own The Bard Distillery in Muhlenberg County in western Kentucky. Their products had penetrated British Columbia and Alberta, but a new purchase order for north of the border is on hold amid Trump's ever-changing trade war.

"That hurts," Bard said. "For a small distillery like us, where every single pallet that goes out the door makes a huge difference, that's huge for us."

Bard said his team invested heavily to break into Canada, where business grew so quickly that he had hoped it would account for at least 25% of his overall sales this year.

"We'd love to ship as much of it as we can to Canada," Bard said. "We just expanded our distillery to take advantage of all the global demand for our products. What we hate is that once we get this equipment online this year, that we won't be able to run it full throttle because we'll be afraid to put too much inventory away not knowing what's going to happen."

The dispute needs to be resolved before Canadian distributors will risk accepting shipments of American spirits, he said.

Bard plans to ramp up domestic distribution to try to make up for lost sales in Canada.

"We're small-business Americans, so we're going to make it work," he said. "But it would be nice to not have these roadblocks."

___

Associated Press writer Paul Harloff in New York contributed to this report.

Continue Reading...

Popular

Trump attacks ABC News correspondent Mary Bruce in angry response to three sharp questions

NEW YORK (AP) — President Donald Trump denounced ABC News' Mary Bruce as a “terrible reporter” Tuesday and threatened the network's license to broadcast after she asked him three sharp questions at the White House.

Trump Signs Law to Launch Dollar 2.0 - Ad

Trump just signed law S.1582, unleashing the biggest money shift in 100+ years. For the first time since 1913, private firms - not the Fed - can mint a "Dollar 2.0." Treasury says it could drain $6.6T from banks and pay 10X current savings rates. Early investors in minting firms could see 40X returns by 2032.

TSMC Chief CC Wei Says Nvidia CEO 'Wants More Chips' As Jensen Huang Enjoys Hotpot In Taipei And Praises The Taiwanese Foundry: 'No TSMC, No Nvidia'

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang praised TSMC as vital to his company's success during his Taiwan visit, where he met TSMC chief CC Wei over hotpot and reportedly requested more chips amid surging AI demand and U.S. export restrictions.

Strongest Earnings Growth Since 2021: US Companies Beat Trade War Worries With Robust Q3 Results

The U.S. corporate sector is experiencing a significant surge in earnings, with the growth rate hitting a four-year high despite concerns over the impact of the trade war initiated by President Donald Trump.

Buy This Gold Stock Before the New Year - Ad

America is about to see a massive shift in how regular people buy and store gold. Next year, the world's largest gold buyer is expected to launch a new way for everyday Americans to invest in gold with a simple tap on their phone - and it could go live in 2026. When it does, a tiny gold stock trading around $1.60 could explode.

MacKenzie Scott Has Donated More Than $19 Billion, Yet Her Wealth Grows Faster

MacKenzie Scott, the billionaire philanthropist and ex-wife of Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, has donated a staggering $19.25 billion since 2020.

Zohran Mamdani Says No More Thanking Veterans Today, Forgetting Tomorrow — Trump, Obama And Others Express Gratitude For Service

America's top political and tech leaders — including Donald Trump, Barack Obama, Tim Cook, and Sundar Pichai — marked Veterans Day 2025 with tributes honoring the courage and sacrifice of U.S. service members.

"Tech Prophet" Who Predicted the iPhone Now Predicts... - Ad

George Gilder - who predicted the iPhone 17 years early and gave Reagan the first microchip - is making his boldest call yet. He says an American nanotech "super-convergence" could mint more millionaires than any event in recent memory. He's found 3 stocks set to benefit the most.

Jim Cramer: Chipotle Is 'Too Expensive,' Buy This Plane Maker

On "Mad Money," Cramer discusses Henry Schein, Bloom Energy, Tyler Technologies, Boeing and Chipotle Mexican Grill.

Better Than Bitcoin? (Top Crypto for Less Than $1) - Ad

Over the past 15 years, Bitcoin has outperformed stocks, bonds, and every other asset you could've bought. 2025 is already shaping up to be another banner year, with Bitcoin recently hitting a new all-time high. But there's a better way to profit from this new crypto rally. Most people don't know about it... and yet it's returned over 1,000% in 4 months. This could be the #1 way to invest in crypto right now.

UPS cargo plane with 3 aboard explodes on takeoff at Louisville airport, igniting huge fire

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (AP) — A large UPS cargo plane with three people aboard crashed Tuesday while taking off from an airport in Louisville, Kentucky, igniting an explosion and massive fire that left a thick plume of black smoke over the area.

Flying-Taxi Maker Archer Loses Altitude As Investors Question Costly Airport Move

Archer Aviation Inc. (NYSE: ACHR) shares down on Q3 results and plans to acquire Hawthorne Airport for $126 million.

Speculative? Yes. But This Memecoin Has Serious Fundamentals. - Ad

Most memecoins are driven by hype-but this one might be different. Backed by a real use case and unexpected investor interest, our analysts believe it could emerge as one of the strongest performers in the coming cycle.

Can Solana Do What Bitcoin Can't? Amplify's New ETF Aims For 36% Income

Amplify ETFs, the issuer known for thematic and income-driven fund products, has just launched the Amplify Solana 3% Monthly Option Income ETF (BATS:SOLM), a first-of-its-kind product combining the growth momentum in Solana (CRYPTO:

Elon's New Device Could Launch Biggest IPO of the Decade - Ad

Elon Musk's new device is being called a "game-changer"-and even the White House is using this tech. Jeff Brown says it could launch Musk's next trillion-dollar company and make early investors rich. You can claim a stake now for as little as $500.

Nasdaq Surges Over 100 Points, Records Gains In October: Greed Index Remains In 'Fear' Zone

CNN Money Fear and Greed index remained in Fear zone on Friday. US stocks closed higher, Nasdaq up 4.7% in October. Amazon reported earnings.

Investing Legend Hints the End May Be Near for These 3 Iconic Stocks - Ad

Futurist Eric Fry say Amazon, Tesla and Nvidia are all on the verge of major disruption. To help protect anyone with money invested in them, he's sharing three exciting stocks to replace them with. He gives away the names and tickers completely free in his brand-new "Sell This, Buy That" broadcast.

Bill Gates' Daughter Phoebe's AI Shopping Assistant Found Collecting Extensive User Data: Report

Phia, co-founded by Phoebe Gates, has been found collecting extensive user data through its browser extension, raising privacy concerns.

Average US long-term mortgage rate ticks up to 6.22% after four straight weekly declines

The average rate on a 30-year U.S. mortgage ticked up for the first time in five weeks after falling to its lowest level in more than a year last week.

Is This Elon's Worst Nightmare? - Ad

Elon's empire looks doomed - crashing sales, lost tax credits, and media backlash. But behind the scenes, Tesla is about to unleash a breakthrough Forbes calls a "multi-trillion-dollar opportunity." It's not the end - it's the start of a 25,000% AI comeback.

Tempus AI Stock (TEM) Slides 6% Overnight: Here's Why The Stock Is Trending

Tempus AI shares fell 6.02% in after-hours trading Tuesday following its third-quarter earnings report.

AT&T reached a $177M data breach settlement. What consumers should know about claiming their money

NEW YORK (AP) — AT&T has reached a combined $177 million settlement over two . And impacted consumers have a little over a month left to file a claim for their chunk of the money.

Gold Is Being Reintroduced Into the Monetary System - Ad

While the media focuses on political scandals, inflation and coming up with ridiculous acronyms "TACO"... Smart money is tracking a far bigger shift: a gold revaluation is quietly underway. Garrett Goggin, CFA, says this could trigger 100X moves in select miners - and he's identified four with the biggest upside.

Typhoon Kalmaegi leaves 26 dead in Philippines, people trapped on roofs and cars submerged

MANILA, Philippines (AP) — Typhoon Kalmaegi has left at least 26 people dead in the Philippines, mostly in flooding set off by the storm, which barreled across the central part of the country on Tuesday, disaster response officials said. Floodwaters trapped scores of people on their roofs and submerged cars.

Cathie Wood Goes All-In On Peter Thiel's Crypto Play Bullish With Back-To-Back Million-Dollar Buys

Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest purchased shares in Bullish, a crypto exchange backed by Peter Thiel, through three of its funds. Other key trades were also made, including buying shares in CRISPR and Beam Therapeutics.

Jan 26: The Day Elon Changes Everything - Ad

Mark your calendar: January 26, 2025. That's the date I believe Elon Musk could finally unveil his Optimus robot - the same project he says will be "the biggest product ever of any kind." If Elon is right, this could be a $30 trillion tipping point...And regular investors have a rare window to move before the switch flips.

Spotify Premium Subscribers Boost Q3 Revenue, Eyes Strong Holiday Quarter

Spotify (NYSE: SPOT) shares rose after reporting better-than-expected Q3 results, with revenue of $4.99B and 17M new MAUs.

Trump Touts 'Really Good Deal' With China As US Stock Futures Rally — Dow Up 91 Points While Gold, US Dollar Remain Flat

U.S. stock futures are surging on Sunday evening, following greater clarity and easing trade tensions between the United States and China over the weekend, following the summit between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in South Korea last week.

Trump Signs Law to Launch Dollar 2.0 - Ad

Trump just signed law S.1582, unleashing the biggest money shift in 100+ years. For the first time since 1913, private firms - not the Fed - can mint a "Dollar 2.0." Treasury says it could drain $6.6T from banks and pay 10X current savings rates. Early investors in minting firms could see 40X returns by 2032.

IREN Skyrockets After Sealing $9.7 Billion AI Cloud Deal With Microsoft

Pre-market trading sees IREN shares up after securing $9.7B cloud contract with Microsoft, partnering with Dell.

Consumer Tech News (Oct 27-31): Nvidia Surpasses $5T Market Cap, Trump-Xi Meeting Concludes, Big Tech Report Earnings & More

Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet beat Q3 estimates with revenue and earnings growth. Trump and Xi conclude high-stakes meeting with trade, soybean, and resource agreements, potentially impacting U.S.-China economic relations and global markets.

Buy This Gold Stock Before the New Year - Ad

America is about to see a massive shift in how regular people buy and store gold. Next year, the world's largest gold buyer is expected to launch a new way for everyday Americans to invest in gold with a simple tap on their phone - and it could go live in 2026. When it does, a tiny gold stock trading around $1.60 could explode.

Peloton Stock Rallies After Q1 Earnings: Here's Why

Peloton stock climbs after the company released its first-quarter earnings report after Thursday's closing bell.

Trump Barred From Deploying Oregon National Guard To Portland, Judge Cites State Sovereignty

A federal judge handed down a decisive ruling on Friday, blocking Trump's attempt to send Oregon's National Guard to Portland.

"Tech Prophet" Who Predicted the iPhone Now Predicts... - Ad

George Gilder - who predicted the iPhone 17 years early and gave Reagan the first microchip - is making his boldest call yet. He says an American nanotech "super-convergence" could mint more millionaires than any event in recent memory. He's found 3 stocks set to benefit the most.

Deep in Trump country, coal miners with black lung say government is suffocating the 'working man'

OAK HILL, W.Va. (AP) — Lisa Emery loves to talk about her “boys.” With each word, the respiratory therapist’s face softens and shines with pride. But keep her talking, and it doesn’t take long for that passion to switch to hurt. She knows the names, ages, families and the intimate stories of each one’s scarred lungs. She worries about a whole community of West Virginia coal miners — including a growing number in their 30s and 40s — who come to her for help while getting sicker and sicker from what used to be considered an old-timer’s disease: black lung.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright technicaltrading.org
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service