"Tech Prophet" Who Predicted the iPhone Now Predicts...

George Gilder - who predicted the iPhone 17 years early and gave Reagan the first microchip - is making his boldest call yet. He says an American nanotech "super-convergence" could mint more millionaires than any event in recent memory. He's found 3 stocks set to benefit the most.

Kentucky bourbon makers fear becoming 'collateral damage' in Trump's trade war

BRUCE SCHREINER and DYLAN LOVAN
March 11, 2025

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (AP) -- With a new distillery set to open soon, the makers of Brough Brothers bourbon in Kentucky were ready to put their business plan into action. They were looking to ramp up whiskey production to break into lucrative new markets in Canada and Europe.

Now the on-again, off-again threat of tariffs has disrupted those plans.

Efforts by the Black-owned distiller to gain a foothold in Canada are on hold, as are plans to break into Germany and France, said Brough Brothers Distillery CEO Victor Yarbrough. That's because the iconic American spirit's widening global appeal is caught in the crossfire of trade conflicts instigated by President Donald Trump.

"It's extremely frustrating," said Yarbrough, who started the Louisville distilling company with his brothers, Bryson and Chris. "We are collateral damage."

For distillers looking to sell to consumers of all political stripes, talking politics can be as distasteful as discussing Prohibition. But along with the turmoil and uncertainty over tariffs, bourbon makers and other U.S. firms trying to do business in Canada are confronting public relations challenges still reverberating from the president's blunt-force "America First" approach to international relations.

With Canadian hockey fans booing the U.S. national anthem and some liquor stores north of the border clearing American spirits from their shelves even before there's clarity over tariffs, businesses like Brough Brothers are watching to see how the trade conflict plays out.

In the building being converted into the new distillery near the Ohio River, drywall dust covers the floor of the project that the brothers hope will raise the company's profile in the ultra-competitive bourbon world.

"I believe there's going to be some type of repair of the relationships that needs to happen," said Yarbrough, who was hoping, before the trade war erupted, to introduce his bourbon in New Brunswick and later expand to Ontario and other parts of Canada. "So I think some type of media blitz, PR blitz is definitely going to have to take place."

An expanding market hampered by uncertainty

The trade wars pose an immediate threat to an American-made success story, built on the growing worldwide taste for bourbon, Tennessee whiskey and other products.

Kentucky Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear said the president's zig-zagging tariff policy is hurting the American economy and will lead to higher consumer prices while disrupting business.

"It's not just the imposition of tariffs, it's this month-to-month, 'I may do it to you at any moment' policy," said Beshear, a potential presidential candidate in 2028. "You can't create stability."

Trump on Thursday postponed 25% tariffs on some imports from Canada for a month amid fears of the economic fallout from a broader trade war. Yarbrough said his company's expansion plans are still in limbo.

"It doesn't change our situation," he said. "Just as quickly as it changed to a reprieve, it could just as quickly turn into next month that we're back on."

For an industry that has to plan well into the future, based on aging its whiskey products, such angst is widespread in Kentucky, which produces 95% of the world's bourbon supply. At this point even a delay in tariffs wouldn't alleviate the practical problems confronting U.S. whiskey makers.

"The issue for us is long-term planning, and a postponement does nothing for us in long-term planning except leaves it still up in the air," said Judy Hollis Jones, president and CEO of Buzzard's Roost in Louisville, which sells to two provinces in Canada and has been looking to expand.

"Maybe other people adapt to it easier than I do, but I tend to like some certainty," Jones said.

The Kentucky Distillers' Association says the newest trade conflicts feel like deja vu. The industry group has long sounded the alarm that tariffs and retaliatory levies would wreak havoc on the spirits industry. Along with the North American trade dispute, the European Union is set to reinstate a tariff by April 1 on American whiskey if nothing is done to head it off.

That trans-Atlantic dispute is a reprise of Trump's first-term tariffs on European steel and aluminum. The EU's retaliatory tariff caused American whiskey exports to the EU to plunge 20%, costing distillers more than $100 million in revenue from 2018 to 2021, the Distilled Spirits Council says. Once the tariff was suspended, EU sales rebounded for American distillers.

Threat of 'irreparable harm' to distillers

Now, Europe's infatuation with Kentucky bourbon and other U.S. spirits is threatened by the potential 50% tariff -- double the previous levy -- that would inflict "irreparable harm to distillers large and small," said Chris Swonger, the council's CEO.

Tariffs amount to a tax, which whiskey producers can either absorb in reduced profits or pass along to customers through higher prices -- and risk losing market share in highly competitive markets. In 2024, the EU was by far the largest export market for U.S. distilled spirits, followed by Canada, the council said.

Trump maintains that open trade has cost the U.S. millions of factory jobs and that tariffs are the path to American-made prosperity.

Large distillers possess the capital and market reach to ride out disruptions caused by tariffs -- built-in luxuries that most small producers don't have.

Canada accounts for just 1% of total sales for Brown-Forman Corp., the maker of Jack Daniel's Tennessee Whiskey, and the Louisville-based company could withstand disruptions there, said its CEO, Lawson Whiting.

But Whiting said the decision by Canadian provinces to take American products off store shelves is "worse than a tariff because it's literally taking your sales away." He called it "a very disproportionate response to a 25% tariff."

The threat of a prolonged trade war has Brough Brothers exploring other options. They could lean harder into domestic sales or look for other markets overseas -- but again, it's hard to plan.

"Talking about this is starting to make my head hurt," Yarbrough said.

For Tom Bard, another Kentucky craft distiller, the risk is that all his hard work to gain a foothold in Canada could evaporate due to the cross-border trade conflict.

Bard and his wife, Kim, own The Bard Distillery in Muhlenberg County in western Kentucky. Their products had penetrated British Columbia and Alberta, but a new purchase order for north of the border is on hold amid Trump's ever-changing trade war.

"That hurts," Bard said. "For a small distillery like us, where every single pallet that goes out the door makes a huge difference, that's huge for us."

Bard said his team invested heavily to break into Canada, where business grew so quickly that he had hoped it would account for at least 25% of his overall sales this year.

"We'd love to ship as much of it as we can to Canada," Bard said. "We just expanded our distillery to take advantage of all the global demand for our products. What we hate is that once we get this equipment online this year, that we won't be able to run it full throttle because we'll be afraid to put too much inventory away not knowing what's going to happen."

The dispute needs to be resolved before Canadian distributors will risk accepting shipments of American spirits, he said.

Bard plans to ramp up domestic distribution to try to make up for lost sales in Canada.

"We're small-business Americans, so we're going to make it work," he said. "But it would be nice to not have these roadblocks."

___

Associated Press writer Paul Harloff in New York contributed to this report.

Continue Reading...

Popular

Why Is Occidental Petroleum Stock Gaining Tuesday?

Analysts highlight OXY's robust earnings, production guidance, and expanded resource base as key growth drivers.

What's Going On With Papa John's (PZZA) Stock Today? (UPDATED)

Shares of Papa John's International, Inc. (NASDAQ: PZZA) moved higher on Monday. Here's what you need to know.

Legally "Skim" $6,361 Into Your Account? - Ad

A former hedge fund manager is now sharing his "Skim Codes" with regular people. They're not stocks. They're not crypto. They're 18-character codes designed to profit from recent market conditions. All you have to do is punch them into an ordinary brokerage account. 84% of these codes have given people the chance to generate cash payouts so far... and his next code is going out any day now.

TSMC Ex-VP's Home Raided As Chip Giant Alleges Intel Recruit Leaked Trade Secrets

Taiwan prosecutors raided the homes of a former TSMC vice president accused of leaking advanced chipmaking secrets to Intel, a claim Intel firmly denies as the high-stakes investigation intensifies.

Yemen's Houthi rebels signal that they've stopped attacks on Israel and Red Sea shipping

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Yemen’s Houthi rebels are signaling they’ve stopped their as a holds in the Gaza Strip.

Why Are Wall Street Insiders Moving Their Money to This One Asset? - Ad

Something far more consequential for your money than tariffs is unfolding behind the scenes... Tucked inside this overlooked directive is a plan set to be executed for the first time in in U.S. history. One Stansberry Research's Senior Partner says it's set to trigger a rare window for potentially explosive gains in ONE asset immediately. (Not AI or crypto). Wall Street insiders are already positioning themselves... and he insists you should, too, before it's too late.

Google Co-founder Sergey Brin's Mega Alphabet Stock Gift Tops $1.1 Billion

Sergey Brin donated over $1.1 billion in Alphabet stock this week, with the majority going to his nonprofit Catalyst4 and other charitable foundations.

How Tyson's Chicken Business Will Offset Beef Weakness

Tyson shares rise as pricing catch-up expected to ease cost pressures; chicken strength offsets beef headwinds amid stable feed costs.

Elon's $25 Trillion Confession - Ad

Elon Musk: "Tesla will become a $25 trillion company." That would make Tesla 8x bigger than Apple today. How is that possible? He admits it's all thanks to this one AI breakthrough that will take AI out of our computer screens and manifest a 250x boom here in the real world.

Trump's $2,000 Tariff Dividend Stumbles On Math: Cost Far Exceeds Revenue

Trump's $2,000 tariff rebate plan faces a major math gap, with estimated costs up to $606.8B—far exceeding tariff revenues in 2025 and 2026, says the Tax Foundation.

Trump Triggered 70% Gains Overnight -- This Rare Earths Stock Could Be Next - Ad

Trump's turning tiny mining stocks into overnight fortunes... and this little-known rare earths miner could be his next billion-dollar BUY. If Trump cuts a deal you could see a 50% to 200% pop overnight. But you must act before the next deal hits the wire.

Kyndryl Wins Wall Street Support As 'Triple A' Plan Fixes Profits After IBM Split: Analyst

Guggenheim analyst initiates coverage on Kyndryl with a Buy rating and a price forecast of $30. Kyndryl has executed a successful turnaround strategy and is well-positioned to gain share in the growing IT infrastructure services market. Guggenheim analyst initiates coverage on Kyndryl with a Buy rating and $30 price target. Kyndryl has executed a successful turnaround strategy and is well-positioned in the growing IT infrastructure services market.

These are the 37 donors helping pay for Trump's $300 million White House ballroom

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump says his $300 million White House ballroom will be paid for “100% by me and some friends of mine.”

Weiss Gold Veteran Makes Shocking New Call - Ad

Weiss expert Sean Brodrick went out on a limb last year and declared a historic event would send the yellow metal to $3,150. People laughed at him at the time, but he was off by just two days. Now, Sean has a shocking new prediction for gold ... and reveals a little-known way to get ahead of this bull market.

Crypto Billionaire Justin Sun Says He Will Donate To Help Victims Of Deadly Fire In Hong Kong, Binance Announces $1.3 Million Support

Tron (CRYPTO: TRX) founder and cryptocurrency billionaire Justin Sun pledged his support for the victims of the devastating Hong Kong fire, promising a donation to aid recovery efforts.

Trump's $5.3 Trillion "Manhattan Project" - Ad

Trump just launched a $5.3T AI-powered missile shield-America's modern "Manhattan Project." While defense giants scramble, one tiny firm is already 40x smaller than Lockheed... yet leads anti-drone tech in 300+ defense programs. With $1.3B in contracts, this stock could soar.

Asian shares are mixed in holiday-thinned trading with Wall Street closed for Thanksgiving

MANILA, Philippines (AP) — Asian shares were mixed Friday in holiday-thinned trading as tech stocks slipped as a recent rebound driven by hopes for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve lost steam.

Nvidia, Dell, Coinbase, Gorilla Technology And Archer Aviation: Why These 5 Stocks Are On Investors' Radars Today

U.S. stocks closed lower on Monday, with the Dow slipping 1.2% to 46,590.24, the S&P 500 easing 0.92% to 6,672.41, and the Nasdaq dipping 0.84% to 22,708.07. These are the top stocks that gained the attention of retail traders and investors through the day:

Why Are 21 Billionaires Moving Their Money ASAP? - Ad

One of the biggest stock market events in 25 years is rapidly unfolding... The economist who predicted the 2008 Financial Crisis says it will be: "The Biggest Crash of Our Lifetime." It could cut the entire tech marketing by HALF.

JPMorgan Forecasts Bitcoin Bottom, Anticipates $28.3 Trillion Challenge To Gold By 2026

Analysts at JPMorgan have pinpointed the lowest point of the ongoing Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price fall and also projected a substantial chall

Trump Withdraws Support For 'Wacky' Marjorie Taylor Greene In Sudden, Fiery Split: 'I Can't Take...'

President Donald Trump said he is withdrawing his endorsement of longtime ally Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene — here's what happened.

The Market Just Crossed a Dangerous Line - Ad

The man who predicted the 2008 crash and 2020 says today's soaring markets are NOT a bubble - they're something far stranger and more dangerous. He says it's about to change everything you know about money.

Bitcoin Rises To $91,500, Brazilian Stocks Hit Record Highs: What's Moving Markets Thursday?

Global markets drifted through a quiet session on Thursday as Wall Street remained shut for Thanksgiving, leaving cryptocurrencies as the day's main source of price action.

Here's what to know about the federal ban threatening the market for THC-infused drinks and snacks

MINNEAPOLIS (AP) — The production lines at Indeed Brewing moved quickly, the cans filling not with beer, but with THC-infused seltzer. The product, which features the compound that gets cannabis users high, has been a lifeline at Indeed and other craft breweries as in recent years.

Trump Signs Law to Launch Dollar 2.0 - Ad

Trump just signed law S.1582, unleashing the biggest money shift in 100+ years. For the first time since 1913, private firms - not the Fed - can mint a "Dollar 2.0." Treasury says it could drain $6.6T from banks and pay 10X current savings rates. Early investors in minting firms could see 40X returns by 2032.

Ecopetrol Plans $5.9B–$7.2B Investments for 2026, Targets 40% EBITDA Margin

Ecopetrol (EC), Colombia's oil company, plans to invest $5.9 billion in production and $7.2 billion in energy transition and other initiatives in 2026.

Michael Burry Not Alone: Peter Andersen Dumped Nvidia Months Ago, Anticipating 'Accounting Questions'

Michael Burry isn't alone: Peter Andersen dumped Nvidia months ago, citing "accounting questions" and calling the AI boom a "fantasy."

"Tech Prophet" Who Predicted the iPhone Now Predicts... - Ad

George Gilder - who predicted the iPhone 17 years early and gave Reagan the first microchip - is making his boldest call yet. He says an American nanotech "super-convergence" could mint more millionaires than any event in recent memory. He's found 3 stocks set to benefit the most.

AI Bots Are Crowding Out Human Traders On Blockchain Networks

While crypto traders focus on XRP exchange-traded fund launches, a more significant transformation is underway. Autonomous AI agents are taking over as primary blockchain network participants, requiring infrastructure that operates differently from systems designed for humans.

Veterans Day: What's open, what's closed

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Veterans Day holiday began more than a century ago, albeit under a different name, as a celebration of the end of World War I. Over time its name and purpose evolved into a day of recognition for of as well as those currently serving in uniform.

Legally "Skim" $6,361 Into Your Account? - Ad

A former hedge fund manager is now sharing his "Skim Codes" with regular people. They're not stocks. They're not crypto. They're 18-character codes designed to profit from recent market conditions. All you have to do is punch them into an ordinary brokerage account. 84% of these codes have given people the chance to generate cash payouts so far... and his next code is going out any day now.

Armani fashion group appoints new board to guide company after designer's death

ROME (AP) — Italy’s fashion house Armani said on Friday that it has appointed a new board whose role will be to guide the company at a time of transition following of its founder Giorgio Armani earlier this year.

Nasdaq Seeks 4X Options Limit Jump For IBIT — Will Bitcoin ETFs Lift Off?

Nasdaq seeks a 4X boost to IBIT options limits, signaling rising institutional demand and potential gains for major Bitcoin ETFs.

Why Are Wall Street Insiders Moving Their Money to This One Asset? - Ad

Something far more consequential for your money than tariffs is unfolding behind the scenes... Tucked inside this overlooked directive is a plan set to be executed for the first time in in U.S. history. One Stansberry Research's Senior Partner says it's set to trigger a rare window for potentially explosive gains in ONE asset immediately. (Not AI or crypto). Wall Street insiders are already positioning themselves... and he insists you should, too, before it's too late.

Amazon's $150 Billion AI Capex Surge Could Force Its First Big Bond Deal In Years

Amazon may need to tap Wall Street for funds as it faces rising AI and data center spending, despite sitting on $84 billion in cash.

Elon's $25 Trillion Confession - Ad

Elon Musk: "Tesla will become a $25 trillion company." That would make Tesla 8x bigger than Apple today. How is that possible? He admits it's all thanks to this one AI breakthrough that will take AI out of our computer screens and manifest a 250x boom here in the real world.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright technicaltrading.org
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service