Can You Still Trust This Bull Market?

Is this bubble set to pop? Headlines say yes, but one market vet with a 15-year track record says not yet. A historic pattern is taking shape that could send $7.4 trillion pouring into select stocks, triggering a Melt Up that could run for years to come. You don't want to miss it.

Powell: Federal Reserve to stay on hold amid widespread economic uncertainty

CHRISTOPHER RUGABER
March 07, 2025

NEW YORK (AP) -- The Federal Reserve is likely to keep its key interest rate unchanged in the coming months as it waits for widespread "uncertainty" stemming from President Donald Trump's policies to resolve, Chair Jerome Powell said in written remarks to be delivered Friday in New York.

Powell said the Trump administration is making policy changes in several areas, including trade, taxes, government spending, immigration and regulation, and added that the "net effect" of those changes are what will matter for the economy and the Fed's interest rate policies.

"While there have been recent developments in some of these areas, especially trade policy, uncertainty around the changes and their likely effects remains high," Powell said. "As we parse the incoming information, we are focused on separating the signal from the noise as the outlook evolves. We do not need to be in a hurry, and are well positioned to wait for greater clarity."

Most economists say that Trump's plans to slap tariffs on a wide array of imports, including 25% duties on goods from Canada and Mexico that he partially delayed Thursday, will push up prices and slow growth. But many also expect that tax cuts and deregulation could boost the economy.

Powell said the economy remains mostly healthy despite "elevated uncertainty." He characterized Friday's jobs report, which showed employers added 151,000 jobs and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.1%, as in line with the "solid" gains of the past six months.

He also noted that there were signs consumer spending has slowed compared with the healthy gains in the second half of last year, and said surveys of consumers and businesses "point to heightened uncertainty about the economic outlook."

The Fed's own beige book, a collection of anecdotes from hundreds of businesses, mentioned uncertainty 47 times in its latest edition released Wednesday, up from just 17 times in January. The Fed publishes the beige book eight times a year.

Powell spoke at a conference organized by the University of Chicago's Booth School of Business.

President Donald Trump's on-again, off-again tariff policy and rapid-fire layoffs of government workers has created a spike in uncertainty among businesses and caused a sharp drop in consumer confidence. Many economists have marked down their estimates for the economy's growth to as low as 1% at an annual rate in the first three months of this year, down from 2.3% in last year's final quarter.

Wall Street traders, as a result, have boosted their forecasts for rate cuts, with futures pricing indicating they now expect three rate cuts by the Fed this year, up from just one a month or so ago. Those rate reductions could help bring down borrowing costs for mortgages, auto loans, credit cards, and business loans.

Yet as Fed governor Christopher Waller noted Thursday, there are "good news" cuts and "bad news" cuts. "Bad news" cuts occur if the Fed reduces rates out of concern that the economy is slowing, while "good news" reductions are those that reflect a sense by the Fed that inflation is returning to its target of 2%.

Waller added that he still believes it will be possible for the Fed to engineer "good news" rate cuts later this year, though he dismissed the potential for a cut at the Fed's next meeting this month.

After cutting its key rate three times last year to about 4.3%, Powell indicated in January that the Fed would pause any further cuts amid signs that inflation has remained stuck above its target. The central bank's preferred inflation gauge shows that prices rose 2.5% in January compared with a year ago. Excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core prices rose 2.6%, the smallest increase since June.

Continue Reading...

Popular

Trump attacks ABC News correspondent Mary Bruce in angry response to three sharp questions

NEW YORK (AP) — President Donald Trump denounced ABC News' Mary Bruce as a “terrible reporter” Tuesday and threatened the network's license to broadcast after she asked him three sharp questions at the White House.

"Tech Prophet" Who Predicted the iPhone Now Predicts... - Ad

George Gilder - who predicted the iPhone 17 years early and gave Reagan the first microchip - is making his boldest call yet. He says an American nanotech "super-convergence" could mint more millionaires than any event in recent memory. He's found 3 stocks set to benefit the most.

Trump Withdraws Support For 'Wacky' Marjorie Taylor Greene In Sudden, Fiery Split: 'I Can't Take...'

President Donald Trump said he is withdrawing his endorsement of longtime ally Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene — here's what happened.

Congress to Feature Trump on $100 Bill? - Ad

A shocking new plan was just introduced in Washington; to celebrate Trump's new "golden age" by placing him on the $100 bill. In the months ahead, this former Presidential Advisor predicts the government will release a massive multi-trillion-dollar asset which it has held back for more than a century.

Zohran Mamdani Says No More Thanking Veterans Today, Forgetting Tomorrow — Trump, Obama And Others Express Gratitude For Service

America's top political and tech leaders — including Donald Trump, Barack Obama, Tim Cook, and Sundar Pichai — marked Veterans Day 2025 with tributes honoring the courage and sacrifice of U.S. service members.

Pete Hegseth Says War Department Preparing For 'Action' In Nigeria

U.S. Defense Secretary Hegseth agrees with Trump's order to prepare for action in Nigeria to stop the killing of Christians by Islamist militants.

The Market Just Crossed a Dangerous Line - Ad

The man who predicted the 2008 crash and 2020 says today's soaring markets are NOT a bubble - they're something far stranger and more dangerous. He says it's about to change everything you know about money.

Cathie Wood Goes All-In On Peter Thiel's Crypto Play Bullish With Back-To-Back Million-Dollar Buys

Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest purchased shares in Bullish, a crypto exchange backed by Peter Thiel, through three of its funds. Other key trades were also made, including buying shares in CRISPR and Beam Therapeutics.

Trump Signs Law to Launch Dollar 2.0 - Ad

Trump just signed law S.1582, unleashing the biggest money shift in 100+ years. For the first time since 1913, private firms - not the Fed - can mint a "Dollar 2.0." Treasury says it could drain $6.6T from banks and pay 10X current savings rates. Early investors in minting firms could see 40X returns by 2032.

Cathie Wood Bets Big On These Stocks As Bitcoin, Ethereum Crash —Dumps Instagram Rival

On Tuesday, Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest made significant trades, notably increasing its holdings in Bullish (NYSE:BLSH), Coinbase Glo

Bill Ackman's Amazon Trade Reverses Course – Now Up $119 Million And Counting In Third Quarter

Amazon.com was one of the biggest bets by Bill Ackman in the second quarter. After Q3 earnings, the position is now up since the end of Q2.

Jensen Huang's Secret Masterplan Revealed - Ad

NVIDIA's revolutionary new invention just solved the #1 chokepoint that's been strangling big AI companies. And Tech legend Jeff Brown - the Silicon Valley insider who called NVIDIA before it skyrocketed more than 30,000%... says a shocking announcement by NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang could make a lot of early investors rich.

Bill Ackman's Hertz Stake Is Starting To Look Like His Next Chipotle Moment

Bill Ackman's investment in Hertz may be the next Chipotle moment as the rental-car company sees a surprise profit and a 40% stock surge.

Elon's New Device Could Launch Biggest IPO of the Decade - Ad

Elon Musk's new device is being called a "game-changer"-and even the White House is using this tech. Jeff Brown says it could launch Musk's next trillion-dollar company and make early investors rich. You can claim a stake now for as little as $500.

[Revealed] The $100 Starlink Pre-IPO Blueprint! - Ad

Fortune reports Starlink's rumored IPO is set to be the single largest IPO in history. James Altucher has uncovered a way to get a pre-IPO stake BEFORE Starlink goes public. All it takes is just a few minutes of time and as little as $100 to get started.

Hillary Clinton Says Trump Taking A 'Break' From Gold-And-Marble Interior Renovations To Defy Court Order On SNAP: 'Nero Would Be Proud'

Hillary Clinton criticizes Trump for withholding SNAP benefits during shutdown, accusing him of defying court order and being indifferent to public suffering. Democrats blast Trump for creating hunger crisis and breaking the law.

Investing Legend Hints the End May Be Near for These 3 Iconic Stocks - Ad

Futurist Eric Fry say Amazon, Tesla and Nvidia are all on the verge of major disruption. To help protect anyone with money invested in them, he's sharing three exciting stocks to replace them with. He gives away the names and tickers completely free in his brand-new "Sell This, Buy That" broadcast.

IREN Skyrockets After Sealing $9.7 Billion AI Cloud Deal With Microsoft

Pre-market trading sees IREN shares up after securing $9.7B cloud contract with Microsoft, partnering with Dell.

Qatar Airways to sell its holdings in Hong Kong's Cathay Pacific for $896 million

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Qatar Airways will sell its stake in Hong Kong-based Cathay Pacific Airways in a share buyback valued at $896 million, the companies announced, ending the Qatari carrier's .

Is This Elon's Worst Nightmare? - Ad

Elon's empire looks doomed - crashing sales, lost tax credits, and media backlash. But behind the scenes, Tesla is about to unleash a breakthrough Forbes calls a "multi-trillion-dollar opportunity." It's not the end - it's the start of a 25,000% AI comeback.

Typhoon Kalmaegi leaves 26 dead in Philippines, people trapped on roofs and cars submerged

MANILA, Philippines (AP) — Typhoon Kalmaegi has left at least 26 people dead in the Philippines, mostly in flooding set off by the storm, which barreled across the central part of the country on Tuesday, disaster response officials said. Floodwaters trapped scores of people on their roofs and submerged cars.

Warren Buffett Initiates Alphabet Position, Trims Apple In Q3 — Here Are Berkshire's Moves

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway took a new stake in a member of the Magnificent Seven, while lowering its stake in Apple in the third quarter.

Can You Still Trust This Bull Market? - Ad

Is this bubble set to pop? Headlines say yes, but one market vet with a 15-year track record says not yet. A historic pattern is taking shape that could send $7.4 trillion pouring into select stocks, triggering a Melt Up that could run for years to come. You don't want to miss it.

Spotify Premium Subscribers Boost Q3 Revenue, Eyes Strong Holiday Quarter

Spotify (NYSE: SPOT) shares rose after reporting better-than-expected Q3 results, with revenue of $4.99B and 17M new MAUs.

"Tech Prophet" Who Predicted the iPhone Now Predicts... - Ad

George Gilder - who predicted the iPhone 17 years early and gave Reagan the first microchip - is making his boldest call yet. He says an American nanotech "super-convergence" could mint more millionaires than any event in recent memory. He's found 3 stocks set to benefit the most.

TSLA, PLTR, IREN And More: 5 Stocks That Dominated Investor Buzz This Week

Retail investors talked up five hot stocks this week (Nov. 3–7) on X and Reddit's r/WallStreetBets: TSLA, PLTR, MSTR, AMD, IREN.

Congress to Feature Trump on $100 Bill? - Ad

A shocking new plan was just introduced in Washington; to celebrate Trump's new "golden age" by placing him on the $100 bill. In the months ahead, this former Presidential Advisor predicts the government will release a massive multi-trillion-dollar asset which it has held back for more than a century.

UPS and FedEx grounding MD-11 planes following deadly Kentucky crash

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (AP) — UPS and FedEx will ground their fleets of McDonnell Douglas MD-11 planes “out of an abundance of caution” following a deadly crash at the UPS in Kentucky, the companies announced late Friday.

The Market Just Crossed a Dangerous Line - Ad

The man who predicted the 2008 crash and 2020 says today's soaring markets are NOT a bubble - they're something far stranger and more dangerous. He says it's about to change everything you know about money.

Trump has other tariff options if the Supreme Court strikes down his worldwide import taxes

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump has warned that the United States will be rendered “defenseless’’ and possibly “reduced to almost Third World status’’ if Supreme Court strikes down the tariffs he imposed this year on nearly every country on earth.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright technicaltrading.org
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service