Elon's New Device Could Launch Biggest IPO of the Decade

Elon Musk's new device is being called a "game-changer"-and even the White House is using this tech. Jeff Brown says it could launch Musk's next trillion-dollar company and make early investors rich. You can claim a stake now for as little as $500.

The ruble's in a slump. For the Kremlin, that's a two-edged sword

DAVID McHUGH
November 29, 2024

Russia's ruble is sagging against other currencies, complicating the Kremlin's efforts to keep consumer inflation under control with one hand even as it overheats the economy with spending on the war against Ukraine with the other.

The official central bank rate for Friday was set at 109 to the U.S. dollar, meaning the ruble is worth less than a penny in dollar terms. At that rate, the ruble was bouncing back from lows around 114 to the dollar touched earlier in the week.

There have been similar declines against the Chinese yuan, which has largely replaced dollars and euros for foreign trade after sanctions imposed by Ukraine's Western allies cut Russia off from most dealings with Western companies and banks.

Russians interviewed on the street Friday in Moscow - where incautious remarks can lead to jail time - took the decline in stride.

Muscovite Yekaterina, who declined to offer her last name, said she had just made a prepayment for a vacation in Egypt, adding "I'm afraid to know what the rest of payment will be." But she added: "Maybe it only concerns us individually, people who love travelling. But for Russian economy it's not that bad. Internal tourism, domestic industry are developing."

Semyon, again no last name, was even less concerned. "My salary is in rubles, I pay taxes in rubles, I buy a car in rubles and buy groceries in rubles. What do I need the dollar for, explain that to me, please."

The Kremlin is engaged in a tricky juggle. Government spending on the war has factories running at top speed and the economy growing more strongly than many expected given sanctions. The resulting inflation - an annual 8.5% in October - has led the central bank to crank up its interest rate benchmark to a painful 21% to slow borrowing and spending. That has led to complaints from business leaders hit with high credit costs and fostered predictions from economists that tight credit will eventually slow the economy.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the recent decline was "connected not only with inflation processes, it is also connected with payments to the budget, it is connected with oil prices, there are many factors of a seasonal nature."

"Therefore, in general, in my opinion, the situation is under control and there are certainly no grounds for panic."

The ruble and inflation nonetheless remain key concerns for the Kremlin, said Janis Kluge, an expert on the Russian economy at the German Institute for Security and International Affairs in Berlin.

"The inflation rate and the exchange rate, those two are very visible and you can feel it in your pocket," he said. "And there is no propaganda in the world that will convince you prices are not rising when prices are rising. So this is why the Kremlin is so sensitive and really prioritizes fighting inflation so much."

A lower ruble means Russians will over time pay more for imports, especially for autos, household appliances and electronics made in China, now Russia's chief trade partner, said Kluge.

There are multiple reasons behind the ruble's recent decline from levels as high as 85 to the dollar in August. The price of oil - Russia's most important export - has weakened; foreign investors are no longer available to purchase ruble investments, and Russia's inflation rate means its currency tends to lose value against those of trade partners.

A key factor recently may have been U.S. Treasury Department sanctions against Russia's Gazprombank, announced Nov. 21. Since the bank was the conduit for customers for what was left of Russia's oil and natural gas trade in Europe, the sanctions blocked one source of foreign earnings and increased pressure on the ruble. A big question is when, and whether, Russia might find a workaround for that.

The weaker ruble isn't all bad for the Kremlin, since it increases oil and gas export earnings in ruble terms. For now the central bank is managing the rate as best it can after the shock of Gazprombank sanctions, said Chris Weafer, CEO of Macro-Advisory Ltd. Since there is no open market trading of the ruble on the Moscow or any other exchange due to sanctions, the rate is set by the central bank based on its estimate of trade requirements.

"The market now is entirely under the control of the central bank, and they set the rates every evening based on what they see, the inflow of money coming from from Russians exporters and the demand for FX from companies who want to buy goods," said Weafer, using the abbreviation for foreign exchange.

"Nevertheless, there there was this shock element of when Gazprombank was added to sanctions," he said. "They have decided that the best course of action over the short term is to allow the ruble to weaken. And that is because it significantly helps the finance ministry."

The central bank will have to juggle inflation and budget concerns and come up with the rate best suited to circumstances, said Weafer. One way of doing that would be to require exporters to change more of their foreign currency earnings to rubles: "They will have to put all of those factors together and come up with what they believe is the optimal rate."

Continue Reading...

Popular

Marjorie Taylor Greene Buys Blue Chip Stock Near 52-Week Low

Marjorie Taylor Greene is known for buying multiple stocks at a time, based on recent disclosures. A new filing shows one stock bought in November.

Elon's $25 Trillion Confession - Ad

Elon Musk: "Tesla will become a $25 trillion company." That would make Tesla 8x bigger than Apple today. How is that possible? He admits it's all thanks to this one AI breakthrough that will take AI out of our computer screens and manifest a 250x boom here in the real world.

Marjorie Taylor Greene Goes Bargain Shopping, Discloses Buying These Two Stocks At 52-Week Lows

Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene disclosed some new stocks recently. Unlike past trades in 2024 and 2025, the latest disclosure is rather unique.

Can You Still Trust This Bull Market? - Ad

Is this bubble set to pop? Headlines say yes, but one market vet with a 15-year track record says not yet. A historic pattern is taking shape that could send $7.4 trillion pouring into select stocks, triggering a Melt Up that could run for years to come. You don't want to miss it.

Jim Cramer: Chipotle Is 'Too Expensive,' Buy This Plane Maker

On "Mad Money," Cramer discusses Henry Schein, Bloom Energy, Tyler Technologies, Boeing and Chipotle Mexican Grill.

"Tech Prophet" Who Predicted the iPhone Now Predicts... - Ad

George Gilder - who predicted the iPhone 17 years early and gave Reagan the first microchip - is making his boldest call yet. He says an American nanotech "super-convergence" could mint more millionaires than any event in recent memory. He's found 3 stocks set to benefit the most.

Preliminary tests find germ that causes botulism in ByHeart baby formula

Preliminary tests showed that ByHeart baby formula contained the type of bacteria that produces the toxin linked to , California health officials said.

Zohran Mamdani Says No More Thanking Veterans Today, Forgetting Tomorrow — Trump, Obama And Others Express Gratitude For Service

America's top political and tech leaders — including Donald Trump, Barack Obama, Tim Cook, and Sundar Pichai — marked Veterans Day 2025 with tributes honoring the courage and sacrifice of U.S. service members.

Trump Signs Law to Launch Dollar 2.0 - Ad

Trump just signed law S.1582, unleashing the biggest money shift in 100+ years. For the first time since 1913, private firms - not the Fed - can mint a "Dollar 2.0." Treasury says it could drain $6.6T from banks and pay 10X current savings rates. Early investors in minting firms could see 40X returns by 2032.

Copper Over 13%. Gold Over 5 g/t. Same Hole. - Ad

This is not your average drill result. The copper-gold system just revealed a zone that rivals top-tier VMS discoveries. With over 3M insider shares recently bought, momentum is building.

Coeur Mining's $7 Billion Deal For New Gold Creates $20 Billion Powerhouse

Coeur Mining Inc. (CDE) announced acquisition of New Gold Inc. (NGD) in all-stock deal valued at $7 billion.

Buy This Gold Stock Before the New Year - Ad

America is about to see a massive shift in how regular people buy and store gold. Next year, the world's largest gold buyer is expected to launch a new way for everyday Americans to invest in gold with a simple tap on their phone - and it could go live in 2026. When it does, a tiny gold stock trading around $1.60 could explode.

Bill Ackman's Amazon Trade Reverses Course – Now Up $119 Million And Counting In Third Quarter

Amazon.com was one of the biggest bets by Bill Ackman in the second quarter. After Q3 earnings, the position is now up since the end of Q2.

America's Defense Future Starts Underground - Ad

A N. American metals project just caught the attention of Rio Tinto - a mining giant. With four projects in key regions, this firm is aligned with Washington's push to rebuild the defense-metal supply chain.

Sunrun Stock Drops After Mixed Q3 Earnings Report

Sunrun shares were down after the company released a mixed third-quarter earnings report after Thursday's closing bell.  

The shutdown has disrupted air travel. Will that drive a surge in car rentals and train bookings?

NEW YORK (AP) — The U.S. has rattled air travel — most recently with an unprecedented effort from the Federal Aviation Administration at airports nationwide. And the disruptions are causing some to instead hit the road or buy a train ticket.

Metals... Not Missles... Is the New Arms Race - Ad

China and Russia control 70% of the world's critical minerals, giving them leverage over the West. One N. American discovery could help shift that balance by developing the metals essential for defense systems.

Turkey Issues Arrest Warrants For Netanyahu, Other Israeli Officials Over Gaza Genocide: Report

Turkey issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and 36 other officials, accusing them of genocide in Gaza.

AT&T reached a $177M data breach settlement. What consumers should know about claiming their money

NEW YORK (AP) — AT&T has reached a combined $177 million settlement over two . And impacted consumers have a little over a month left to file a claim for their chunk of the money.

Bonanza Copper-Gold Hit Just Announced - Ad

A new intercept delivered 17.91% CuEq over 6.3 metres, including 13.48% copper and 5.15 g/t gold. These results, from a developed Quebec district, could mark a turning point.

Court Blocks Trump's SNAP Reductions, But Stricter Eligibility Rules Begin

New work requirements for SNAP begin Saturday, but benefits may not be issued through November due to the government shutdown.

Tempus AI Stock (TEM) Slides 6% Overnight: Here's Why The Stock Is Trending

Tempus AI shares fell 6.02% in after-hours trading Tuesday following its third-quarter earnings report.

Elon's New Device Could Launch Biggest IPO of the Decade - Ad

Elon Musk's new device is being called a "game-changer"-and even the White House is using this tech. Jeff Brown says it could launch Musk's next trillion-dollar company and make early investors rich. You can claim a stake now for as little as $500.

Trump Barred From Deploying Oregon National Guard To Portland, Judge Cites State Sovereignty

A federal judge handed down a decisive ruling on Friday, blocking Trump's attempt to send Oregon's National Guard to Portland.

Trump Touts 'Really Good Deal' With China As US Stock Futures Rally — Dow Up 91 Points While Gold, US Dollar Remain Flat

U.S. stock futures are surging on Sunday evening, following greater clarity and easing trade tensions between the United States and China over the weekend, following the summit between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in South Korea last week.

Elon's $25 Trillion Confession - Ad

Elon Musk: "Tesla will become a $25 trillion company." That would make Tesla 8x bigger than Apple today. How is that possible? He admits it's all thanks to this one AI breakthrough that will take AI out of our computer screens and manifest a 250x boom here in the real world.

Peloton Stock Rallies After Q1 Earnings: Here's Why

Peloton stock climbs after the company released its first-quarter earnings report after Thursday's closing bell.

Nasdaq Surges Over 100 Points, Records Gains In October: Greed Index Remains In 'Fear' Zone

CNN Money Fear and Greed index remained in Fear zone on Friday. US stocks closed higher, Nasdaq up 4.7% in October. Amazon reported earnings.

Can You Still Trust This Bull Market? - Ad

Is this bubble set to pop? Headlines say yes, but one market vet with a 15-year track record says not yet. A historic pattern is taking shape that could send $7.4 trillion pouring into select stocks, triggering a Melt Up that could run for years to come. You don't want to miss it.

Trump administration moves to loosen restrictions it once supported on a harmful pollutant

WASHINGTON (AP) — Near the end of his first term, President Donald Trump signed into law a bill that and air conditioners. The bipartisan measure brought environmentalists and major business groups into rare alignment on the contentious issue of climate change and won praise across the political spectrum.

UPS and FedEx grounding MD-11 planes following deadly Kentucky crash

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (AP) — UPS and FedEx will ground their fleets of McDonnell Douglas MD-11 planes “out of an abundance of caution” following a deadly crash at the UPS in Kentucky, the companies announced late Friday.

"Tech Prophet" Who Predicted the iPhone Now Predicts... - Ad

George Gilder - who predicted the iPhone 17 years early and gave Reagan the first microchip - is making his boldest call yet. He says an American nanotech "super-convergence" could mint more millionaires than any event in recent memory. He's found 3 stocks set to benefit the most.

Flying-Taxi Maker Archer Loses Altitude As Investors Question Costly Airport Move

Archer Aviation Inc. (NYSE: ACHR) shares down on Q3 results and plans to acquire Hawthorne Airport for $126 million.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright technicaltrading.org
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service