Trump Signs Law to Launch Dollar 2.0

Trump just signed law S.1582, unleashing the biggest money shift in 100+ years. For the first time since 1913, private firms - not the Fed - can mint a "Dollar 2.0." Treasury says it could drain $6.6T from banks and pay 10X current savings rates. Early investors in minting firms could see 40X returns by 2032.

The ruble's in a slump. For the Kremlin, that's a two-edged sword

DAVID McHUGH
November 29, 2024

Russia's ruble is sagging against other currencies, complicating the Kremlin's efforts to keep consumer inflation under control with one hand even as it overheats the economy with spending on the war against Ukraine with the other.

The official central bank rate for Friday was set at 109 to the U.S. dollar, meaning the ruble is worth less than a penny in dollar terms. At that rate, the ruble was bouncing back from lows around 114 to the dollar touched earlier in the week.

There have been similar declines against the Chinese yuan, which has largely replaced dollars and euros for foreign trade after sanctions imposed by Ukraine's Western allies cut Russia off from most dealings with Western companies and banks.

Russians interviewed on the street Friday in Moscow - where incautious remarks can lead to jail time - took the decline in stride.

Muscovite Yekaterina, who declined to offer her last name, said she had just made a prepayment for a vacation in Egypt, adding "I'm afraid to know what the rest of payment will be." But she added: "Maybe it only concerns us individually, people who love travelling. But for Russian economy it's not that bad. Internal tourism, domestic industry are developing."

Semyon, again no last name, was even less concerned. "My salary is in rubles, I pay taxes in rubles, I buy a car in rubles and buy groceries in rubles. What do I need the dollar for, explain that to me, please."

The Kremlin is engaged in a tricky juggle. Government spending on the war has factories running at top speed and the economy growing more strongly than many expected given sanctions. The resulting inflation - an annual 8.5% in October - has led the central bank to crank up its interest rate benchmark to a painful 21% to slow borrowing and spending. That has led to complaints from business leaders hit with high credit costs and fostered predictions from economists that tight credit will eventually slow the economy.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the recent decline was "connected not only with inflation processes, it is also connected with payments to the budget, it is connected with oil prices, there are many factors of a seasonal nature."

"Therefore, in general, in my opinion, the situation is under control and there are certainly no grounds for panic."

The ruble and inflation nonetheless remain key concerns for the Kremlin, said Janis Kluge, an expert on the Russian economy at the German Institute for Security and International Affairs in Berlin.

"The inflation rate and the exchange rate, those two are very visible and you can feel it in your pocket," he said. "And there is no propaganda in the world that will convince you prices are not rising when prices are rising. So this is why the Kremlin is so sensitive and really prioritizes fighting inflation so much."

A lower ruble means Russians will over time pay more for imports, especially for autos, household appliances and electronics made in China, now Russia's chief trade partner, said Kluge.

There are multiple reasons behind the ruble's recent decline from levels as high as 85 to the dollar in August. The price of oil - Russia's most important export - has weakened; foreign investors are no longer available to purchase ruble investments, and Russia's inflation rate means its currency tends to lose value against those of trade partners.

A key factor recently may have been U.S. Treasury Department sanctions against Russia's Gazprombank, announced Nov. 21. Since the bank was the conduit for customers for what was left of Russia's oil and natural gas trade in Europe, the sanctions blocked one source of foreign earnings and increased pressure on the ruble. A big question is when, and whether, Russia might find a workaround for that.

The weaker ruble isn't all bad for the Kremlin, since it increases oil and gas export earnings in ruble terms. For now the central bank is managing the rate as best it can after the shock of Gazprombank sanctions, said Chris Weafer, CEO of Macro-Advisory Ltd. Since there is no open market trading of the ruble on the Moscow or any other exchange due to sanctions, the rate is set by the central bank based on its estimate of trade requirements.

"The market now is entirely under the control of the central bank, and they set the rates every evening based on what they see, the inflow of money coming from from Russians exporters and the demand for FX from companies who want to buy goods," said Weafer, using the abbreviation for foreign exchange.

"Nevertheless, there there was this shock element of when Gazprombank was added to sanctions," he said. "They have decided that the best course of action over the short term is to allow the ruble to weaken. And that is because it significantly helps the finance ministry."

The central bank will have to juggle inflation and budget concerns and come up with the rate best suited to circumstances, said Weafer. One way of doing that would be to require exporters to change more of their foreign currency earnings to rubles: "They will have to put all of those factors together and come up with what they believe is the optimal rate."

Continue Reading...

Popular

VinFast's Losses Mount As It Burns Cash To Cement Global EV Presence

Vietnam's VinFast Auto Ltd. (NASDAQ: VFS) shares fell after reporting Q3 fiscal 2025 results. Loss per share of 41 cents missed estimates.

America's Defense Future Starts Underground - Ad

A N. American metals project just caught the attention of Rio Tinto - a mining giant. With four projects in key regions, this firm is aligned with Washington's push to rebuild the defense-metal supply chain.

Marjorie Taylor Greene Buys Blue Chip Stock Near 52-Week Low

Marjorie Taylor Greene is known for buying multiple stocks at a time, based on recent disclosures. A new filing shows one stock bought in November.

Schwab: Half Of US Investors May Ditch Other Assets For ETFs — 4 Funds To Watch

Nearly half of ETF investors could go all-ETF within five years, Schwab says. Here's how they're building portfolios with funds like ITOT, BND, and XLK.

Trump Knew It All Along... Free, Endless Power is REAL - Ad

At this moment, an unprecedented alliance of billionaire investors... giant corporations... and the U.S. government... Is pushing this new fuel into the mainstream at breakneck speed. We're talking about a revolution that will change the world FOREVER.

These are the 37 donors helping pay for Trump's $300 million White House ballroom

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump says his $300 million White House ballroom will be paid for “100% by me and some friends of mine.”

Bonanza Copper-Gold Hit Just Announced - Ad

A new intercept delivered 17.91% CuEq over 6.3 metres, including 13.48% copper and 5.15 g/t gold. These results, from a developed Quebec district, could mark a turning point.

Leaked Documents Unveil Meta's $16 Billion Revenue Projection From Scam Ads

Leaked internal documents have revealed that Meta projected a revenue of approximately $16 billion from scam advertisements and banned goods in 2024.

France threatens to block Shein over sale of childlike sex dolls ahead of Paris store opening

PARIS (AP) — French authorities have warned they may block access to after it emerged that the online fast fashion giant had been selling sex dolls with a childlike appearance.

Elon's New Device Could Launch Biggest IPO of the Decade - Ad

Elon Musk's new device is being called a "game-changer"-and even the White House is using this tech. Jeff Brown says it could launch Musk's next trillion-dollar company and make early investors rich. You can claim a stake now for as little as $500.

Coeur Mining's $7 Billion Deal For New Gold Creates $20 Billion Powerhouse

Coeur Mining Inc. (CDE) announced acquisition of New Gold Inc. (NGD) in all-stock deal valued at $7 billion.

How it's Possible to Rake In Huge Gains From Gold's Surge - Ad

Gold blasted past $4,300 recently. It's up almost 50% in the past year. But why settle for 50% like most coin buyers... when past gold cycles have thrown off gains of 2,300%, 7,746%, even 9,850%? Weiss Ratings' gold expert Sean Broderick reveals what he believes is a more profitable way to play this surge.

Peter Thiel Once Explained Why Bitcoin Won't Go Up 'Dramatically' And How It's Set For A 'Volatile, Bumpy Ride' Thanks To BlackRock

Bitcoin's ongoing struggles have brought renewed attention to comments made last year by Palantir Technologies co-founder Peter Thiel, who predicted that the leading cryptocurrency was unlikely to see a dramatic surge

Can You Still Trust This Bull Market? - Ad

Is this bubble set to pop? Headlines say yes, but one market vet with a 15-year track record says not yet. A historic pattern is taking shape that could send $7.4 trillion pouring into select stocks, triggering a Melt Up that could run for years to come. You don't want to miss it.

Trump Wants Washington Commanders' $3.7 Billion Stadium Named After Him: Report

President Donald Trump is seeking to have the Washington Commanders' new $3.7 billion stadium named after him.

Typhoon Kalmaegi leaves 26 dead in Philippines, people trapped on roofs and cars submerged

MANILA, Philippines (AP) — Typhoon Kalmaegi has left at least 26 people dead in the Philippines, mostly in flooding set off by the storm, which barreled across the central part of the country on Tuesday, disaster response officials said. Floodwaters trapped scores of people on their roofs and submerged cars.

Metals... Not Missles... Is the New Arms Race - Ad

China and Russia control 70% of the world's critical minerals, giving them leverage over the West. One N. American discovery could help shift that balance by developing the metals essential for defense systems.

"Tech Prophet" Who Predicted the iPhone Now Predicts... - Ad

George Gilder - who predicted the iPhone 17 years early and gave Reagan the first microchip - is making his boldest call yet. He says an American nanotech "super-convergence" could mint more millionaires than any event in recent memory. He's found 3 stocks set to benefit the most.

Bill.Com Scales Payments Footprint With 33 Million Transactions

Bill Holdings, Inc. (BILL) reports Q1 fiscal 2026 results, beating analyst estimates with adjusted EPS of 61c and revenue of $395.74M.

Serbia passes a special bill enabling Trump's son-in-law to build luxury complex despite opposition

BELGRADE, Serbia (AP) — Serbian lawmakers on Friday passed a special law clearing the way for a proposed real estate project that would be financed by an investment company linked to Donald Trump’s son-in-law despite and legal hurdles.

Big Oil Threatened by New Fuel Unlocking FREE, Endless Power - Ad

The Trump administration is about to stun the world with a miraculous new innovation that could singlehandedly bring energy independence not just to the U.S. but to the entire world. Taking a position today, even a small one, could make you incredibly rich... and keep that you way for the next 50 years.

OpenAI and Amazon sign $38B deal for AI computing power

SEATTLE (AP) — OpenAI and Amazon have signed a $38 billion deal that enables the ChatGPT maker to run its artificial intelligence systems on Amazon's cloud computing services.

Deep in Trump country, coal miners with black lung say government is suffocating the 'working man'

OAK HILL, W.Va. (AP) — Lisa Emery loves to talk about her “boys.” With each word, the respiratory therapist’s face softens and shines with pride. But keep her talking, and it doesn’t take long for that passion to switch to hurt. She knows the names, ages, families and the intimate stories of each one’s scarred lungs. She worries about a whole community of West Virginia coal miners — including a growing number in their 30s and 40s — who come to her for help while getting sicker and sicker from what used to be considered an old-timer’s disease: black lung.

Trump Signs Law to Launch Dollar 2.0 - Ad

Trump just signed law S.1582, unleashing the biggest money shift in 100+ years. For the first time since 1913, private firms - not the Fed - can mint a "Dollar 2.0." Treasury says it could drain $6.6T from banks and pay 10X current savings rates. Early investors in minting firms could see 40X returns by 2032.

NATO member Romania signs agreement with Germany’s Rheinmetall to build a gunpowder plant

BUCHAREST, Romania (AP) — NATO member Romania signed an agreement Monday with German defense company Rheinmetall to build a gunpowder factory in central Romania, as

America's Defense Future Starts Underground - Ad

A N. American metals project just caught the attention of Rio Tinto - a mining giant. With four projects in key regions, this firm is aligned with Washington's push to rebuild the defense-metal supply chain.

Trump has other tariff options if the Supreme Court strikes down his worldwide import taxes

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump has warned that the United States will be rendered “defenseless’’ and possibly “reduced to almost Third World status’’ if Supreme Court strikes down the tariffs he imposed this year on nearly every country on earth.

Can Solana Do What Bitcoin Can't? Amplify's New ETF Aims For 36% Income

Amplify ETFs, the issuer known for thematic and income-driven fund products, has just launched the Amplify Solana 3% Monthly Option Income ETF (BATS:SOLM), a first-of-its-kind product combining the growth momentum in Solana (CRYPTO:

Trump Knew It All Along... Free, Endless Power is REAL - Ad

At this moment, an unprecedented alliance of billionaire investors... giant corporations... and the U.S. government... Is pushing this new fuel into the mainstream at breakneck speed. We're talking about a revolution that will change the world FOREVER.

Zohran Mamdani Was Crypto Bettors' Overwhelming Favorite For New York City Mayor At 100% Odds — And He Just Won

Zohran Mamdani won the high-stakes New York City mayoral race Tuesday,  a victory widely anticipated by cryptocurrency bettors, who had overwhelmingly backed the Democratic Socialist.

Japanese game maker Nintendo reports zooming sales and profit on its hit Switch 2 machine

TOKYO (AP) — Japanese video-game maker Nintendo’s net profit jumped 85% in April-September from the year before, as its sales more than doubled following the launch of its hit Switch 2 console in June, the company said Tuesday.

Bonanza Copper-Gold Hit Just Announced - Ad

A new intercept delivered 17.91% CuEq over 6.3 metres, including 13.48% copper and 5.15 g/t gold. These results, from a developed Quebec district, could mark a turning point.

'No hire' job market leaves unemployed in limbo as threats to economy multiply

WASHINGTON (AP) — When Carly Kaprive left a job in Kansas City and moved to Chicago a year ago, she figured it would take three to six months to find a new position. After all, the 32-year old project manager had never been unemployed for longer than three months.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright technicaltrading.org
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service